April 13 (Bloomberg) -- Democrats, buoyed
by President George W. Bush's problems, have taken commanding
leads over Republicans on most issues and in voter preferences
for the November congressional elections, a Bloomberg/Los
Angeles Times poll shows.
The poll found that registered voters
favor Democrats by 49 percent to 35 percent as the party they
would like to see win their congressional district this year.
Democrats are preferred even on issues that often favor
Republicans, such as taxes and the budget deficit, and lead by
wide margins on traditional Democratic strengths like Social
Security and health care.
While Republicans maintain an edge in
handling terrorism and the war in Iraq, the party's disapproval
rating among all Americans has jumped 6 percentage points since
January, to 50 percent. That corresponds with a souring national
mood, as 65 percent say the U.S. is on the wrong track.
``These numbers indicate deep trouble for
the party this fall,'' said Vin Weber, a former Republican
lawmaker from Minnesota with close ties to the Bush
administration. ``For House Republicans, it means that a lot of
seats that they have been thinking of as safe are going to be
competitive.''
`Not for the People'
Celeste Pikey, a 60-year-old disabled
retiree and lifelong Republican from Wisconsin Rapids,
Wisconsin, illustrates the party's problems.
``The Republicans used to be for the
people,'' said Pikey, a poll participant who spoke in a
follow-up interview. ``They're not for the people anymore,'' she
said, citing Republicans' handling of health care and the war in
Iraq.
Unhappiness with Bush is so pervasive that
49 percent of registered voters say they would vote for
Massachusetts Senator John Kerry if the 2004 presidential
election were held today, to 39 percent who say they would vote
for the president. Pikey, who backed Bush in the last two
elections, says she would now vote for Kerry.
Overall the poll shows the president's
approval rating at 39 percent, statistically unchanged from 38
percent in January.
The poll of 1,357 adults, including 1,234
registered voters, was conducted April 8 to 11 and has a margin
of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
Iraq War
Bush's rating on handling terrorism is
down 5 points from January, to 43 percent. While he saw a
4-point boost on Iraq in that period, only 37 percent of
Americans approve of his handling of the war.
Iraq is the biggest drag on Bush's
popularity, said Ari Fleischer, the president's first press
secretary. ``So long as Iraq remains the source of so much
seeming bad news, it will remain tough'' for Bush, Fleischer
said.
The latest Iraq-related problem for the
president, the poll indicates, is the disclosure on April 6 that
he authorized the leaking of classified intelligence to a
reporter: Two-thirds of those polled say Bush's actions weren't
appropriate.
While Americans are divided over whether
Bush's authorization of warrantless wiretaps on Americans was
acceptable, a majority, 56 percent, believe the actions aren't
grounds for impeachment. Americans are evenly split on whether
Bush should be censured for the wiretaps, with 46 percent saying
yes and 45 percent saying no.
The public is also divided on the question
of whether Bush generally shows good judgment in a crisis: 49
percent say no, while 46 percent say yes.
Opinion Gaps
The poll exposed an opinion gap on a range
of issues, with Democrats holding the advantage on every issue
except for terrorism and the war in Iraq. Democrats hold a
4-point advantage on immigration.
On taxes, usually a Republican strength,
Americans by 41 percent to 29 percent say Democrats can do a
better job. The Democrats enjoy much bigger margins on handling
prescription drug coverage for senior citizens, the budget
deficit and Social Security. Republicans also trail on such
broader questions as which party better represents American
values and can keep the country prosperous.
The survey suggests the Democrats are
experiencing some success in their effort to paint the
Republicans, who control both houses of Congress as well as the
presidency, as corrupt. Thirty-five percent of Americans say
Republicans listen more to lobbyists and special interests than
their constituents, while 26 percent say Democrats do.
The Republicans' 10-point advantage on
national security and terrorism is less than in some previous
polls, and Americans now are evenly divided on which party can
better deal with Iraq.
Personal Favorability
Bush has long enjoyed high personal
favorability ratings from the public. The poll shows that trend
continues, though about as many Americans, 62 percent, say they
don't like his policies as say they like him, 61 percent.
Women and men differ sharply in their
views of Bush's handling of a number of issues, including Iraq
and the war on terrorism, where women give Bush a 34 percent
approval rating to 53 percent among males. Three-fifths of women
disapprove of Bush's handling of the economy, while roughly half
of men disapprove.
Among all respondents, Bush saw a 2
percentage-point improvement in his handling of the economy to
39 percent since March. Americans' general perceptions of the
economy dipped by 4 points from March, though; 52 percent now
say the economy is doing well.
Congress's overall approval rating fell to
28 percent in the poll, a record low in Los Angeles Times
polling, which suggests Americans are frustrated with both
parties. For instance, Americans see no difference between the
parties on which has more honesty and integrity, with 30 percent
saying Democrats and 29 percent choosing Republicans.
`Political Bums'
``The whole system stinks,'' said Jerry
Green, an 83-year- old retired commercial pilot and Democrat.
``I think they ought to have a president for six years and the
same for Congress. That's it,'' said Green, who lives in
Deerfield Beach, Florida. ``These fellas are political bums.''
Democrats need to pick up a net of 15
seats to win back control of the House of Representatives. When
asked which party they would like to control the House after the
November elections, voters by 51 percent to 38 percent say the
Democrats.
By contrast at a comparable time in 1994,
voters were evenly divided. The Republicans that year went on to
score a landslide victory in November and take control of the
House.